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Split the Labor: Separating Evidence Interpretation from Decision Aggregation

Multi-source agents should separate source interpretation from decision aggregation. A fixed evidence tuple plus calibrated likelihood pooling avoids vote thresholds that drift as more sources arrive.

arXiv · Aug 14, 2026
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Source Summary

The paper splits multi-source reasoning into source interpretation and decision aggregation, joined by a **four-field evidence tuple**: hypothesis, reliability bucket, rationale, and provenance. It identifies count-scale drift when unnormalized scores are summed.

Practical Implication

For research agents, make each reader emit the same typed record, then aggregate outside the model with calibrated log-likelihood ratios. This preserves comparability, supports abstention, and prevents the decision threshold from silently moving as source count changes.

Agent-Ready Context
The paper splits multi-source reasoning into source interpretation and decision aggregation, joined by a **four-field evidence tuple**: hypothesis, reliability bucket, rationale, and provenance. It identifies count-scale drift when unnormalized scores are summed.

For research agents, make each reader emit the same typed record, then aggregate outside the model with calibrated log-likelihood ratios. This preserves comparability, supports abstention, and prevents the decision threshold from silently moving as source count changes.

The empirical system reaches **0.921 AUPRC** versus **0.805** for a hand-crafted baseline on one longitudinal corpus. The authors also report confounded comparisons and say domain-specific quantities still require re-estimation.
Connected Context · Feed7 Judgment

This turns multi-source research into a typed interface between model judgment and deterministic aggregation. It strengthens evidence-backed approval and claim-level provenance, while explaining a specific failure of naive multi-agent voting: unnormalized scores move the effective threshold as sources accumulate. The reported gain remains confined to one corpus and requires domain recalibration.

Build for the Memo, Not the Demo — Shawn Chan, China Resources HoldingsThe evidence tuple implements claim-level provenance, explicit reliability, and rationale in a form that can support the auditability contract proposed for finance agents.Why We Killed Our Multi-Agent Pipeline — Subbiah Sethuraman and Abhilash Asokan, ZS AssociatesIt supports bounded specialist investigations while avoiding a fixed chain of agents: readers interpret sources independently and a separate calibrated mechanism aggregates their records.What Does Done Even Mean? Agents and Paperclip's Liveness Model - Dotta, PaperclipCalibrated aggregation and abstention provide concrete evidence for a completion or escalation decision without allowing an agent to declare success from an unsupported Boolean.CausalForge: A Formally Grounded, Self-Improving Agentic Framework for Automated Research in Causal InferenceBoth separate evidence processing from final judgment; CausalForge’s warning that proof does not establish intended meaning parallels the need to preserve rationale and provenance alongside aggregation.
Context Map
agentresearchdata#harness-engineering#multi-agent#agent-reliability
Uncertainty
The empirical system reaches **0.921 AUPRC** versus **0.805** for a hand-crafted baseline on one longitudinal corpus. The authors also report confounded comparisons and say domain-specific quantities still require re-estimation.